Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.028733 0.031507 0.034243 0.037139 0.040111 0.043068 0.046228
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.023451 0.027953 0.032505 0.037423 0.042565 0.047763 0.053394
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019118 0.024722 0.030520 0.036899 0.043665 0.050584 0.058155
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.015825 0.022207 0.028955 0.036498 0.044595 0.052953 0.062167
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012953 0.019876 0.027366 0.035865 0.045090 0.054689 0.065339
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.010758 0.018108 0.026241 0.035598 0.045850 0.056591 0.068570
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009273 0.017026 0.025781 0.035969 0.047218 0.059065 0.072329
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007315 0.015222 0.024396 0.035229 0.047299 0.060089 0.074474
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005962 0.014038 0.023650 0.035140 0.048037 0.061771 0.077271
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004636 0.012760 0.022722 0.034788 0.048437 0.063042 0.079584
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003396 0.011453 0.021688 0.034263 0.048602 0.064019 0.081540
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001984 0.009664 0.019973 0.032889 0.047768 0.063865 0.082235
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001441 0.009225 0.020046 0.033750 0.049620 0.066846 0.086545
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000762 0.008392 0.019614 0.034042 0.050873 0.069217 0.090253
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.007137 0.018551 0.033536 0.051186 0.070526 0.092780
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006054 0.017627 0.033148 0.051595 0.071906 0.095353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004941 0.016563 0.032536 0.051706 0.072923 0.097495
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004109 0.015818 0.032277 0.052195 0.074335 0.100043
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003649 0.015586 0.032637 0.053386 0.076513 0.103414
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002736 0.014538 0.031920 0.053284 0.077215 0.105132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002185 0.014005 0.031833 0.053905 0.078712 0.107709
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001593 0.013300 0.031493 0.054202 0.079824 0.109842
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001023 0.012495 0.030985 0.054278 0.080667 0.111658